Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.699166 3.935255 4.189227 4.484672 4.821436 5.196476 5.650259
2025-06-01 3.302047 3.616673 3.974933 4.419709 4.967065 5.633213 6.530388
2025-06-08 3.021854 3.381876 3.809882 4.369554 5.104525 6.074359 7.528201
2025-06-15 2.838372 3.234027 3.721926 4.389946 5.322069 6.655619 8.904343
2025-06-22 2.650164 3.057933 3.574100 4.305295 5.374601 7.009564 10.075473
2025-06-29 2.473181 2.879059 3.402447 4.162435 5.313762 7.168940 10.978815
2025-07-06 2.340465 2.746330 3.278591 4.069389 5.308378 7.411769 12.174606
2025-07-13 2.300487 2.731203 3.310383 4.201491 5.673792 8.400876 15.814236
2025-07-20 2.246398 2.692048 3.303571 4.272151 5.947659 9.311711 20.452619
2025-07-27 2.224442 2.694321 3.354338 4.436300 6.417152 10.844919 31.144063
2025-08-03 2.187044 2.671734 3.365562 4.535927 6.786651 12.353544 51.072780
2025-08-10 2.113146 2.592686 3.285825 4.472591 6.816018 12.958479 72.263638
2025-08-17 2.016960 2.482248 3.159417 4.331268 6.690258 13.151915 99.914925
2025-08-24 1.947364 2.407856 3.085163 4.276887 6.750481 14.041944 260.506037
2025-08-31 1.885462 2.341882 3.020121 4.233146 6.829903 15.110906 NaN
2025-09-07 1.842215 2.301216 2.992198 4.254242 7.068550 17.110977 NaN
2025-09-14 1.782050 2.232481 2.915058 4.175336 7.047087 17.970750 NaN
2025-09-21 1.715089 2.150948 2.813111 4.040788 6.861817 17.872275 NaN
2025-09-28 1.661634 2.087879 2.738281 3.952952 6.785733 18.371815 NaN
2025-10-05 1.652240 2.090917 2.771438 4.078153 7.308368 23.507202 NaN
2025-10-12 1.632429 2.076938 2.775188 4.145052 7.694263 29.300958 NaN
2025-10-19 1.628211 2.086657 2.819220 4.300127 8.409815 44.126932 NaN
2025-10-26 1.613763 2.079542 2.833613 4.394108 8.976005 68.577499 NaN